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Temperature Deterministic Forecasts - Two Months - List - 1-3 month

Please carefully read the skill explanation web page to correctly interpret the forecast in taking into account the historical percent correct!

Seasonal forecasts of temperature for March-April-May 2023 issued on 1st 2023
Station Lat.   Long.   Deterministic
Forecast		 Skill
(%)		 Prob.
above
(%)		 Prob.
normal
(%)		 Prob.
below
(%)
BONAVISTA, NL. 48.67 -53.12 Normal 73 0-9 50-59 30-39
CARTWRIGHT, NL. 53.70 -57.03 Above 68 50-59 30-39 0-9
CHURCHILL FALLS, NL. 53.57 -64.10 Above 61 60-69 20-29 10-19
DANIELS HARBOUR, NL. 50.23 -57.57 Normal 62 40-49 40-49 10-19
DEER LAKE, NL. 49.22 -57.38 Normal 59 30-39 40-49 10-19
GANDER, NL. 48.95 -54.57 Normal 67 10-19 60-69 20-29
GOOSE, NL. 53.32 -60.43 Above 62 40-49 30-39 10-19
HOPEDALE, NL. 55.45 -60.23 Above 63 50-59 40-49 10-19
PORT-AUX-BASQUES, NL. 47.57 -59.15 Normal 65 40-49 50-59 0-9
ST JOHN S, NL. 47.62 -52.75 Normal 68 0-9 40-49 40-49
ST. LAWRENCE, NL. 46.92 -55.38 Normal 70 10-19 50-59 30-39
STEPHENVILLE, NL. 48.55 -58.55 Normal 63 30-39 50-59 10-19
WABUSH LAKE, NL. 52.93 -66.87 Above 58 60-69 20-29 10-19
CALGARY, AB. 51.12 -114.02 Normal 66 30-39 30-39 30-39
COLD LAKE, AB. 54.40 -110.28 Normal 60 20-29 40-49 30-39
EDMONTON INT, AB. 53.32 -113.58 Normal 66 20-29 40-49 30-39
EDMONTON MUNICIPAL, AB. 53.57 -113.52 Normal 66 20-29 40-49 30-39
EDSON, AB. 53.58 -116.47 Normal 72 20-29 20-29 40-49
FORT CHIPEWYAN, AB. 58.77 -111.12 Normal low 20-29 40-49 30-39
FORT MCMURRAY, AB. 56.65 -111.22 Normal 55 20-29 40-49 40-49
GRANDE PRAIRIE, AB. 55.18 -118.88 Normal 69 20-29 30-39 40-49
LETHBRIDGE, AB. 49.63 -112.80 Normal 62 30-39 30-39 30-39
MEDICINE HAT, AB. 50.02 -110.72 Normal 57 40-49 10-19 30-39
PEACE RIVER, AB. 56.23 -117.45 Normal 63 10-19 40-49 30-39
RED DEER, AB. 52.18 -113.90 Normal 67 20-29 30-39 30-39
ALERT, NU 82.52 -62.30 Above low 50-59 30-39 10-19
BAKER LAKE, NU 64.30 -96.08 Normal 50 30-39 30-39 20-29
CAMBRIDGE BAY, NU 69.10 -105.13 Normal 49 30-39 40-49 10-19
CLYDE, NU 70.48 -68.52 Above 52 70-79 20-29 0-9
CORAL HARBOUR, NU 64.20 -83.37 Above 45 70-79 10-19 0-9
DEWAR LAKES, NU 68.65 -71.17 Above 50 50-59 30-39 0-9
EUREKA, NU 79.98 -85.93 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
IQALUIT, NU 63.75 -68.55 Above 50 60-69 30-39 10-19
HALL BEACH, NU 68.78 -81.25 Above low 70-79 10-19 10-19
LADY FRANKLIN POINT, NU 68.48 -113.22 Normal 59 40-49 40-49 10-19
RESOLUTE, NU 74.72 -94.97 Above low 40-49 40-49 0-9
SHEPHERD BAY, NU 68.80 -93.42 Above low 40-49 40-49 10-19
CAPE PARRY, NT. 70.10 -124.72 Above 47 50-59 30-39 10-19
FORT SIMPSON, NT. 61.77 -121.23 Normal 64 20-29 40-49 30-39
FORT SMITH, NT. 60.02 -111.97 Normal 48 20-29 40-49 30-39
HAY RIVER, NT. 60.83 -115.78 Normal 56 20-29 50-59 20-29
INUVIK, NT. 68.30 -133.48 Normal 61 30-39 30-39 30-39
MOULD BAY, NT. 76.25 -119.35 Above 47 50-59 30-39 10-19
NORMAN WELLS, NT. 65.28 -126.80 Normal 64 20-29 40-49 30-39
SACHS HARBOUR, NT. 72.00 -125.25 Above 47 60-69 10-19 10-19
YELLOWKNIFE, NT. 62.47 -114.43 Normal 52 20-29 40-49 20-29
ABBOTSFORD, BC. 49.03 -122.37 Below 63 10-19 30-39 50-59
BLUE RIVER, BC. 52.12 -119.28 Below 65 10-19 20-29 50-59
COMOX, BC. 49.72 -124.90 Below 56 0-9 40-49 50-59
CRANBROOK, BC. 49.62 -115.78 Below 62 10-19 30-39 40-49
ESTEVAN POINT, BC. 49.38 -126.55 Below 58 0-9 40-49 50-59
FORT NELSON, BC. 58.83 -122.60 Normal 61 20-29 30-39 40-49
FORT ST JOHN, BC. 56.23 -120.73 Normal 70 20-29 20-29 50-59
HOPE, BC. 49.37 -121.48 Below 63 10-19 30-39 50-59
KAMLOOPS, BC. 50.70 -120.45 Below 45 20-29 10-19 50-59
KELOWNA, BC. 49.97 -119.38 Below 49 10-19 30-39 50-59
PENTICTON, BC. 49.47 -119.60 Below 47 10-19 30-39 50-59
PORT HARDY, BC. 50.68 -127.38 Below 61 0-9 40-49 50-59
PRINCE GEORGE, BC. 53.88 -122.68 Below 67 20-29 10-19 60-69
QUESNEL, BC. 53.03 -122.52 Below 71 10-19 10-19 60-69
REVELSTOKE, BC. 50.97 -118.18 Below 61 10-19 40-49 40-49
SANDSPIT, BC. 53.25 -131.82 Below 63 0-9 30-39 60-69
VANCOUVER, BC. 49.18 -123.18 Below 59 10-19 30-39 50-59
VICTORIA, BC. 48.65 -123.43 Below 59 10-19 30-39 50-59
WILLIAMS LAKE, BC. 52.18 -122.05 Below 72 20-29 10-19 60-69
BRANDON, MB. 49.92 -99.95 Normal 56 30-39 20-29 40-49
CHURCHILL A, MB. 58.73 -94.07 Normal 48 40-49 10-19 30-39
DAUPHIN, MB. 51.10 -100.05 Normal 53 30-39 30-39 30-39
GILLAM, MB. 56.37 -94.70 Normal 54 40-49 20-29 30-39
THE PAS, MB. 53.97 -101.10 Normal 60 30-39 30-39 30-39
LYNN LAKE, MB. 56.87 -101.08 Normal 56 40-49 10-19 30-39
THOMPSON, MB. 55.80 -97.87 Normal 55 40-49 20-29 30-39
WINNIPEG, MB. 49.92 -97.25 Normal 58 30-39 30-39 30-39
CHARLO, NB. 47.98 -66.33 Normal 51 40-49 30-39 10-19
FREDERICTON, NB. 45.87 -66.53 Normal 53 30-39 40-49 20-29
MONCTON, NB. 46.12 -64.68 Normal 57 20-29 50-59 10-19
SAINT JOHN, NB. 45.32 -65.88 Normal 53 30-39 40-49 20-29
GREENWOOD, NS. 44.98 -64.92 Normal 53 30-39 40-49 20-29
HALIFAX, NS. 44.88 -63.52 Normal 56 30-39 40-49 10-19
SABLE ISLAND, NS. 43.93 -60.02 Normal 64 40-49 30-39 20-29
SHEARWATER, NS. 44.63 -63.50 Normal 56 30-39 40-49 20-29
SYDNEY, NS. 46.17 -60.05 Normal 71 30-39 60-69 0-9
TRURO, NS. 45.37 -63.27 Normal 57 30-39 50-59 10-19
YARMOUTH, NS. 43.83 -66.08 Above 56 40-49 30-39 10-19
KENORA, ON. 49.78 -94.37 Normal 58 40-49 20-29 20-29
PICKLE LAKE, ON. 51.45 -90.20 Normal 45 50-59 10-19 20-29
RED LAKE, ON. 51.07 -93.80 Normal 53 50-59 20-29 20-29
SIOUX LOOKOUT, ON. 50.12 -91.90 Normal 59 50-59 20-29 20-29
THUNDER BAY, ON. 48.37 -89.32 Normal 54 50-59 10-19 20-29
EARLTON, ON. 47.70 -79.85 Normal 51 40-49 30-39 20-29
GERALDTON, ON. 49.78 -86.93 Above 55 50-59 10-19 20-29
GORE BAY, ON. 45.88 -82.57 Normal 60 50-59 20-29 20-29
KAPUSKASING, ON. 49.42 -82.47 Normal 53 50-59 20-29 20-29
LONDON, ON. 43.03 -81.15 Normal 50 30-39 30-39 20-29
MUSKOKA, ON. 44.97 -79.30 Normal 52 30-39 30-39 30-39
NORTH BAY, ON. 46.32 -79.45 Normal 52 30-39 30-39 30-39
OTTAWA, ON. 45.32 -75.67 Normal 56 20-29 40-49 30-39
SAULT STE MARIE, ON. 46.48 -84.52 Above 56 50-59 20-29 10-19
SIMCOE, ON. 42.85 -80.27 Normal 58 30-39 30-39 20-29
SUDBURY, ON. 46.62 -80.78 Normal 54 40-49 30-39 20-29
TIMMINS, ON. 48.57 -81.38 Normal 50 50-59 20-29 20-29
TORONTO ISLAND, ON. 43.63 -79.40 Normal 58 30-39 40-49 20-29
TORONTO, ON. 43.67 -79.60 Normal 55 30-39 30-39 20-29
TRENTON, ON. 44.12 -77.53 Normal 64 20-29 40-49 30-39
WIARTON, ON. 44.75 -81.10 Normal 54 40-49 30-39 20-29
WINDSOR, ON. 42.27 -82.97 Normal 51 30-39 40-49 20-29
CHARLOTTETOWN, PE. 46.28 -63.13 Normal 57 20-29 50-59 10-19
BAGOTVILLE, QC. 48.33 -71.00 Normal 49 50-59 30-39 10-19
BAIE COMEAU, QC. 49.13 -68.20 Normal 52 50-59 20-29 10-19
CHIBOUGAMAU, QC. 49.77 -74.53 Normal 45 50-59 10-19 20-29
KUUJJUAQ, QC. 58.12 -68.42 Above 61 80-89 10-19 0-9
KUUJJUARAPIK, QC. 55.28 -77.77 Above 59 60-69 30-39 0-9
MONTREAL MIRABEL, QC. 45.67 -74.03 Normal 60 10-19 40-49 30-39
MONT JOLI, QC. 48.60 -68.22 Normal 51 50-59 30-39 10-19
MONTREAL DORVAL, QC. 45.47 -73.75 Normal 64 10-19 40-49 30-39
NATASHQUAN, QC. 50.18 -61.80 Normal 66 50-59 30-39 10-19
QUEBEC, QC. 46.80 -71.38 Normal 58 30-39 30-39 20-29
ROBERVAL, QC. 48.52 -72.27 Normal 46 50-59 30-39 10-19
ST HUBERT, QC. 45.52 -73.42 Normal 66 10-19 40-49 30-39
SCHEFFERVILLE, QC. 54.80 -66.80 Above 56 60-69 30-39 0-9
SEPT-ILES, QC. 50.22 -66.20 Above 59 50-59 30-39 10-19
SHERBROOKE, QC. 45.43 -71.68 Normal 60 20-29 40-49 30-39
VAL D OR, QC. 48.05 -77.78 Normal 52 40-49 20-29 30-39
BROADVIEW, SK. 50.38 -102.68 Normal 53 40-49 0-9 40-49
ESTEVAN, SK. 49.22 -102.97 Normal 57 40-49 10-19 40-49
LA RONGE, SK. 55.15 -105.27 Normal 63 20-29 30-39 30-39
MOOSE JAW, SK. 50.33 -105.57 Normal 48 40-49 10-19 30-39
NORTH BATTLEFORD, SK. 52.77 -108.25 Normal 56 30-39 30-39 30-39
PRINCE ALBERT, SK. 53.22 -105.67 Normal 63 20-29 30-39 30-39
REGINA, SK. 50.43 -104.67 Normal 46 40-49 0-9 40-49
SASKATOON, SK. 52.17 -106.72 Normal 54 30-39 20-29 30-39
URANIUM CITY, SK. 59.57 -108.48 Normal 51 20-29 40-49 20-29
YORKTON, SK. 51.27 -102.47 Normal 58 30-39 10-19 40-49
SHINGLE POINT, YT. 68.93 -137.23 Normal 59 30-39 20-29 40-49
TESLIN, YT. 60.17 -132.75 Below 60 10-19 30-39 50-59
WATSON LAKE, YT. 60.12 -128.82 Below 62 20-29 30-39 40-49
WHITEHORSE, YT. 60.72 -135.07 Below 62 10-19 30-39 50-59

low means that the skill is very low, the historical percent correct is lower than 45%.

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